Skip to Content
🌞 Use the 3D-button to see the Interactive 3D Model
Chapters14 Predictions

The predictions of the Holistic Universe Model

Having a theory is one, showing it in a 3D model is two, making comprehensive calculations in Excel is three, but the actual proof of the pudding is making predictions about future values. Below a number of predictions that can be tested in time.

  1. Obliquity prediction

    According to the current theories the obliquity is 23.4392298806° in year 2000 AD and will decrease until year 11,800 AD with a minimum of ~22.6° according to Obliquity Formula calculations taken from Chapront et al. (2002) & J. Laskar’s. For reference to the formula see Wikipedia axial tilt  and by the way the attached picture on Wikipedia is not fully in accordance with the formula.

    I expect the obliquity will indeed follow the current theory completely. Then it will start rising again.

    Prediction graph showing obliquity decreasing until year 11,800 AD reaching minimum ~22.6°, then rising again, matching current Chapront/Laskar formulas through 11,800 AD
  2. Inclination prediction

    According to the current theories the inclination is 1.57869° in year 2000 AD and will decrease. As far as I know there are no predicted values to a minimum. There are however theorized historic values. See this graph  coming from this paper  for more details.

    Based on this model, the inclination will decrease to its minimum of ~0.931° in year 29,200 AD. Then it will start increasing again.

    Prediction graph showing inclination decreasing from 1.57869° in 2000 AD to minimum 0.931° in year 29,200 AD, then increasing again in 99,392-year cycle

    The actual mean duration of inclination precession is 99,392 years which is showing on climate graphs (the 100k driver).

  3. Orbital Eccentricity prediction

    According to the current theories the eccentricity is 0.01671022 AU in year 2000 AD and will decrease to ~0 by year ~27,000 AD. See e.g. the graph on the Wikipedia page .

    Here’s where this model differs: the eccentricity will decrease to its minimum of ~0.01061807 AU already in year ~10,564 AD. Then it will start increasing again.

    Prediction graph showing eccentricity decreasing from 0.01671022 AU in 2000 AD to minimum 0.01061807 AU in year 10,564 AD, contradicting conventional prediction of reaching ~0 by 27,000 AD

    This is where the Holistic Universe Model diverges sharply from current theory. If the orbital eccentricity starts rising again around year ~10,564 AD, it will be a clear indicator of the correctness of this model.

  4. Analemma prediction

    The Analemma is related to the Equation of time, causing length differences of a day throughout the year. It’s current shape is the result of three attributes: the perihelion/aphelion points, the eccentricity and the obliquity. In year 2000 AD 21 June 00:00 UTC the dates of perihelion were around 3rd of January (closest to Earth) and aphelion around 4th of July (Furthest from Earth) AND Eccentricity 0.01671012 AND obliquity 23.4392298806°.

    NOTE: The effect of the Analemma has nothing to do with speed differences due to eccentricity.

    My prediction is the Analemma will move forward in time in the same timeframe as the perihelion precession. This will result in the Analemma-famous-8-figure to be more equally divided. Because the eccentricity also follows the perihelion precession the effect on the WIDE of the Analemma is a repeating cycle. However because the obliquity is fluctuating between ~22.36° and ~24.58° in the 298,176 years period, this has an effect on the LENGTH of the Analemma in a specific 18,636 year cycle.

    Prediction diagram showing analemma figure-8 shapes changing over perihelion precession cycles, with width affected by eccentricity and length affected by obliquity oscillating between 22.36° and 24.58°

    NOTE: This explanation about the Analemma helped me to understand it. He however shows some strange forms of the Analemma that will never take place. The shape will move forward and backward in the shapes as shown above.

  5. The Sun max obliquity at RA 6h / 18h prediction

    The Sun max obliquity on the Northern hemisphere on 21st of June is at RA 06:00 or on the southern hemisphere on 21st of December at RA 18h and seems to be quite stable.

    The reason is the Axial and Inclination tilt difference will have an impact on the RA value of solstices in a 37,272 year cycle.

    Prediction graph showing Right Ascension (RA) at maximum obliquity fluctuating ±11 minutes around mean value of 5h48m50s / 17h48m50s in 37,272-year cycle

    The mid value of the RA value for max. obliquity is ~5h48m50/ ~17h48m50 and fluctuates ~11 minutes up and down in this pattern.

    The pattern of the RA fluctuation (purple) is the result of the Inclination (blue) and Obliquity (amber) interfering with each other.

    Detailed prediction graph showing RA fluctuation pattern (purple) resulting from interference between inclination tilt (blue) and obliquity (amber), with pattern flipping at each crossing point

    Each and every time the two movements cross each other, the RA pattern flips.

    It might be an explanation for the movement of the Magnetic declination .

    My prediction is the max obliquity has reached its max value of ~6h in 1246 AD and will slowly decrease in time. At one moment in time it will start to become visible for scientists and by ~6,000 AD the max obliquity on the Northern hemisphere on 19th of June will already be at ~5h58m22s instead of 6h00m.

    Prediction graph showing RA at maximum obliquity peaked at 6h in 1246 AD and slowly decreasing to 5h58m22s by year 6,000 AD, providing testable prediction for model validation

    I could however not find any direct reference about this prediction of changing RA values in the current theories of our solar system. It is definitely not observed yet so, if this happens it will be a clear indicator of the correctness of this model.

  6. Distance Earth to Sun prediction

    According to this article , Earth is drifting away from the Sun by 15 cm per year — which means the definition of the AU would need to be redefined at some point.

    Additionally it does not only concern our Earth but also all the planets See article . The article reads the perihelion was 1.5 cm further away than the year before. The explanation provided can be very complex.

    some more background on the validation of these numbers 

    Alternatively you can have a look at the answers perplexity provides 

    I don’t think the 15cm per year figure is correct. Let me explain why.

    I expect the MEAN distance from Earth to Sun as defined by the AU unit will increase until 5905 AD and then start decreasing again. It will follow the same pattern as the length of the sidereal year in seconds.

    Prediction graph showing mean Earth-Sun distance (AU) increasing until 5905 AD then decreasing, following sidereal year pattern, contradicting constant 15cm/year drift theory Detailed prediction graph showing mean Earth-Sun distance fluctuating between minimum 149,597,868.9 km (3413 BC) and maximum 149,597,871.8 km (5904 AD) with mean value 149,597,870.35 km, total variation only 2.88 km

    The difference between the minimum value around year 3413 BC of 149,597,868.9 km and the max value around year 5904 AD of 149,597,871.8 km is however only 2.88 km. The mean value is 149,597,870.35 km.

  7. Gregorian calendar prediction

    Currently the Gregorian calendar is aligned on the March Equinox date of 21st of March. Since the current length of solar year (~365.24219) is not the same as the Gregorian value of 365.2425, this alignment will change which will have an impact on the equinoxes and solstices dates.

    My prediction is the Gregorian calendar will fall further behind. In year 5904 AD the June solstice will be on 20th of June 06:00 UTC. After year 5904 AD the year length will be above the MEAN value of a solar year but still below the Gregorian value, so by the year 10,564 AD solstice will be around 18th of June 00:00 UTC. 3.5 days earlier than today’s value.

  8. The longitude of perihelion prediction

    According to the current theories the longitude of perihelion was aligned with solstice in 1246 AD. The astronomer J. Meeus has drafted a formula for it.

    According to this model, only from year 3000 AD the formula from J. Meeus and the values from the Holistic Universe Model will slightly differ.

    Long-term prediction graph comparing Holistic Universe Model longitude of perihelion (aligned with J. Meeus formula until ~3000 AD) with values diverging significantly after, showing 298,176-year Holistic-Year cycle Short-term prediction graph showing longitude of perihelion closely matching J. Meeus formula from 1246 AD (solstice alignment) through year 3000 AD with minimal divergence Zoomed prediction graph showing longitude of perihelion rate change accelerating from 1246 AD solstice alignment, with speed increasing then decreasing in perihelion precession cycles
  9. The axial precession prediction

    According to the current theories – like the formula Capitaine, et.al. - the length of the axial precession is decreasing in time until year 10,000 AD.

    Here’s the bold claim: the precession will already start to increase IN OUR LIFETIME.

    Prediction graph showing axial precession period reaching minimum in our lifetime then increasing, contradicting Capitaine et al. formula predicting decrease until 10,000 AD, caused by interaction between lengthening day and shortening solar year

    Since the length of day is increasing and the length of solar year in days is decreasing and they combined determine the length of the solar year in seconds, there is a turning point in time where one effect takes over the other.

    Currently the length of day is a little bit behind the prediction due to the cyclic behaviour, but once the length of day follows the normal path, the solar year in seconds will start to increase.

    Additionally the length of sidereal year in seconds remains quite stable, so the effect will show axial precession to increase.

    This is a really a clear indicator of the correctness of the model that can be tested in our lifetime.

  10. The length of all other precession movements

    According to the current theories almost all known precession movements are unrelated to each other. So precession of the ecliptic is unrelated to the axial precession. I do not think that is right. ALL precession movements are related to each other.

    I believe there is a clear pattern which relates all precession movements to each other in a perihelion cycle of 18,636 years.

    Prediction diagram showing all precession movements (axial, inclination, perihelion, ecliptic) related to each other in clear pattern repeating every 18,636-year perihelion cycle, contradicting conventional theory of unrelated movements
  11. Earth’s Rotation / Length of Day (LOD) / ΔT cycles prediction

    According to the current theories, the rotation of the Earth is irregular and generally slowing down with respect to more stable time indicators — specifically, the motion of planets and atomic clocks.

    Since the era of observations, Earth’s rotation has slowed and the mean solar second has grown somewhat longer than the SI second. The slowing is not linear and might differ per year, but the trend is clear: Earth’s rotation is slowing down.

    As a result, the time scales of Terrestrial Time (time measured against the fixed stars) and UT1 (time measured as Earth rotation) build up a growing difference. The amount that TT is ahead of UT1 is known as ΔT, or Delta T . As of 5 July 2022, TT is ahead of UT1 by 69.28 seconds.

    My prediction is the slowing down of the rotation of Earth (slower spinning) will continue as-is until ~3800 AD. We will need around ~23,000 LEAP SECONDS if we want the length of day to keep up with 86,400 SI seconds a day until that time.

    Prediction graph showing Delta-T (TT ahead of UT1) requiring ~23,000 leap seconds by 3800 AD as Earth rotation continues slowing until that point, then reversing trend
  12. The length of a solar day prediction

    According to the current theories the solar day will increase in time (see previous topic on the Earth rotation).

    I agree the solar day increase but this will only continue until 3800 AD and after that will start to decrease again.

    Long-term prediction graph showing solar day length increasing until 3800 AD then decreasing again, following cyclical pattern over 298,176-year Holistic-Year
  13. The length of a Sidereal day prediction

    According to the current theories the sidereal day will increase in time (see previous topic on the Earth rotation).

    My prediction is the length of a Sidereal day will follow the same pattern as the Solar day. I have created an overview what will happen with the length of a sidereal day and stellar day.

    Long-term prediction graph comparing sidereal day and stellar day lengths, both following same cyclical pattern as solar day with peak around 3800 AD
  14. The length of a solar year in days prediction

    According to the current theories – like the formula J. Laskar - the length of the solar year in days is slowly decreasing in time until year 10,900 AD. This prediction is however based upon a fixed length of day of 86,400 seconds a day.

    My prediction is the solar year in days will decrease until 5905 AD.

    Prediction graph showing solar year in days decreasing until 5905 AD then increasing, contradicting J. Laskar formula predicting decrease until 10,900 AD based on fixed 86,400-second day
  15. The length of a sidereal year in seconds prediction

    According to the current theories – like the formula J.Chapront, M.Chapront-Touse, & G.Francou - the length of the sidereal year in seconds is slowly increasing in time until year 15,600 AD.

    My prediction is the length of the sidereal year in seconds will increase until year 5905 AD.

    Prediction graph showing sidereal year in seconds increasing until 5905 AD then decreasing, contradicting Chapront/Francou formula predicting increase until 15,600 AD
  16. Temperature prediction

    This is perhaps the most consequential prediction. For long term temperature patterns, it is best to look at what happened 298,176 years ago. But that will not give a complete picture. Earth’s climate might also be impacted by Sun cycles, volcano eruptions, meteor impacts, fires, environmental impact humans, etc.

    My prediction is - as the Inclination tilt is decreasing, we will be slowly but steadily move into colder periods of time. The Axial tilt is currently also decreasing and almost past its mid-point (year 2092 AD will be important!) so slowly the decrease will come to a halt. These combined movements indicate the warmer period will end.

    Prediction graph showing expected temperature decline as inclination tilt decreases and axial tilt approaches midpoint (2092 AD), indicating warmer period ending and transition to longer ice age

    The length of day cycles will additionally be shown to be the main driver for climate on Earth. These cycles are however not straight forward. It goes with ups and downs. Earth current values of the Length of day seems to reach a minimum stretched value compared to the trend line of the Length of Day and as a result will reach the turning point.

    Prediction graph correlating length of day cycles with temperature patterns, showing current LOD reaching minimum stretched value approaching turning point, indicating LOD as main driver for Earth's climate

    Climate change is real — as historic records show, the climate has always changed. It is never fixed. Both trends indicate we will be moving into a much longer ice age period.

    The warmer period will end. Based on this model, we should perhaps be more concerned about the winter that is ahead of us .

  17. The Inclination tilt will be discovered prediction

    As mentioned in chapter 5, the invariable plane is tilted with a mean value of ~1.4951° with an amplitude of ~0.564°.

    I expect some astronomer will eventually confirm Earth’s movement on its path of the invariable plane.

    Prediction diagram showing invariable plane tilted at mean value ~1.4951° with amplitude ~0.564°, representing Earth's movement path that astronomers will eventually confirm

    There are no theories at all for this very specific feature of the Holistic Universe Model which really could confirm the correctness of the model.

  18. The missing perihelion precession of Mercury will turn out to be due to Earth’s wobble prediction

    Mercury theorized perihelion precession based upon the gravitational laws is ~530 arc seconds movement compared to Earth’s movement (~5029 against ICRF). It’s observed value is ~570 arc seconds (~5599 against ICRF). The missing predicted value for the perihelion movement due to relativity theory is ~40 arc second.

    My prediction is once the observation tools improve, the perihelion precession movement of Mercury will turn out to solely to be contributed by Earth’s movement along the Axial Precession Orbit. I have created an overview picture.

    Picture explaining the Mercury perihelion movement from 1900 AD to 2000 AD predicting the missing perihelion precession to be ~40 arcseconds that astronomers will eventually confirm

    The missing perihelion advance of Mercury (~40 arcsecond arounf 1900 AD) will also decrease in time because the Axial Precession will increase in the coming centuries. Additionally the real net value of the perihelion precession of Mercury as seen from Earth (~5599 arcsecond around 1900 AD) will increase.

    These are very bold statements totally contradicting the current theories but flows out of this model.

  19. The June Solstice in year 2092 AD might provide answers

    The EARTH-WOBBLE-CENTER is located at the MEAN obliquity of 23.42727°, In year 2092 the Sun will reach this point.

    Prediction diagram showing June solstice 2092 AD when Sun reaches EARTH-WOBBLE-CENTER at mean obliquity 23.42727°, marking critical mid-axial point crossing signaling beginning of ice age

    My expectation is this is an important year in which we will cross the mid axial point of Earth resulting in the ice age that is ahead of us.

As you can see, a lot of predictions can be made with this model. On a human lifetime span it will be hard to prove the full correctness of the Holistic Universe Model — but that’s the nature of astronomical cycles.

The predicted increase of axial precession will be the first step to prove the model. But even if this happens, it cannot prove the full model on its own.

The only real way to prove this model completely is if someone notices the standard 6h RA value of Earth changing, OR confirms the ~1.4951° mean invariable tilt, OR observes precession starting to increase again.

Else… only time will tell.

Now that we’ve laid out the predictions, let’s explore the consequences of these movements in the next chapter.

Last updated on:
13 3D Technical Guide15 Milankovitch Cycles